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Cornyn losing to primary rival in poll from top GOP super PAC

  • A recent Republican primary poll shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn by 16 points in the 2026 Senate race.
  • A recent poll conducted by the Tarrance Group between April 27 and May 1, funded by the Senate Leadership Fund, indicates a significant rise in Paxton’s support despite Cornyn’s long-standing incumbency and connections with Trump.
  • In a two-way contest, Paxton leads with 56% to Cornyn’s 40%, while a hypothetical three-way race including Rep. Wesley Hunt shows Paxton ahead by 10 points.
  • Cornyn’s senior adviser Matt Mackowiak emphasized his 99% alignment with Trump’s votes, while SLF Communications Director Chris Gustafson stated that Cornyn currently holds a stronger standing in the early stages compared to Ken Paxton.
  • The polling suggests Cornyn faces vulnerability in the primary, which might influence the general election despite the race being rated "Solid R" by nonpartisan analysts.
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Hastings Tribune broke the news in on Monday, May 12, 2025.
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