US EditionReform UK to be Scotland’s second largest party at Holyrood, poll suggests
- A new poll conducted by True North Advisors in early May 2025 suggests Reform UK may become Scotland’s second largest party at the 2026 Holyrood election, with the SNP remaining largest.
- This increase comes as Reform UK builds on its strong performance in recent local elections across England, contributing to the division of the unionist vote and thereby diminishing support for both Labour and the Conservatives in Scotland.
- The poll projects the SNP with 58 MSPs, Reform UK with 21, Labour 18, Conservatives 13, Lib Dems 10, and Greens 8, showing Reform slightly ahead of Labour as main opposition.
- Polling expert John Curtice noted Reform’s growth threatens both Labour and Conservatives, with over 25% of Conservative voters and nearly 20% of Labour voters switching to Reform.
- The results imply continued unionist vote splitting could ease a pro-independence majority at Holyrood, while Reform’s rise signals significant shifts in Scottish politics ahead of May 2026.
Insights by Ground AI
Does this summary seem wrong?
14 Articles
14 Articles
All
Left
5
Center
2
Right
2
Coverage Details
Total News Sources14
Leaning Left5Leaning Right2Center2Last UpdatedBias Distribution56% Left
Bias Distribution
- 56% of the sources lean Left
56% Left
L 56%
C 22%
R 22%
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
Ownership
To view ownership data please Upgrade to Vantage
