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Snap Insight: India and Pakistan are on the brink, but war is not inevitable

  • On May 7, 2025, India launched missile attacks targeting nine locations across Pakistan and the region of Kashmir administered by Pakistan, as a reaction to a terrorist incident that occurred in Pahalgam two weeks prior.
  • The strikes targeted what India identified as terrorist infrastructure linked to Jaish-e-Mohammed at Balakot in north-western Pakistan, accusing Pakistan of enabling terrorism.
  • Tensions intensified as Pakistan conducted missile launches between May 3 and 5, closed its borders and airspace with India, condemned India's strikes as an act of war, and vowed a strong retaliation.
  • A 2024 report from the nuclear think tank Basic recommended establishing a leader-to-leader hotline to enable empathetic, real-time communication important for clarifying intentions and reducing escalation risks.
  • India and Pakistan, both nuclear powers, face a narrow margin for error, and mutual restraint alongside enhanced communication mechanisms could help avoid miscalculation and uncontrolled conflict.
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RNZ broke the news in New Zealand on Wednesday, May 7, 2025.
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