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Bessent Says Two-Year Treasuries Are Signaling Fed Should Cut

  • US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that the fact the two-year Treasury yield is trading below the federal funds rate suggests the Federal Reserve ought to consider lowering interest rates.
  • This signal arises amid expectations of weakening payroll numbers and an economic slowdown that could influence Fed Chairman Powell's policy decisions in early May 2025.
  • Market participants anticipate a below-expected payroll figure around 130,000 for April, signaling softer economic growth compared to March's strong 228,000 jobs added.
  • Bessent explained on Fox Business that two-year rates at about 3.56% being lower than the fed funds rate at 4.33% reflect market expectations for rate cuts, calling this a 'market signal.'
  • This dynamic suggests pressure for the Fed to reduce rates despite elevated inflation and ongoing tensions over trade policies, with the White House prioritizing lower borrowing costs for consumers.
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Money & Markets broke the news in on Wednesday, April 30, 2025.
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